Polymarket users predict only a 26% chance that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by the end of April, despite a 2-week ceasefire agreement with Iran that was intended to fully reopen the strategic waterway.
Activist Masih Alinejad questions Pope Francis about the executions and abuses by Iranian authorities, accusing them of using religion to justify violence against protesters and women. Alinejad asks if these executions can be classified as a massacre and presses the Pope for a response to the ongoing human rights violations in Iran.
On December 15, 2025, the US military intercepted and boarded the M/T Tifani, a sanctioned oil tanker, in the Pacific Ocean.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted that "Iran has violated the ceasefire numerous times." No specific locations or casualty numbers were provided in the tweet.
The Iranian Human Rights Organization reported the widespread arrest of at least 3,646 Iranians since the beginning of recent conflicts, starting from late February of the previous year following widespread protests. At least 111 civil and political activists, including human rights activist Nasrin Sotoudeh, are among those detained.
Despite the 2 week ceasefire with Iran, which was supposed to include the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Polymarket users give just a 26% chance that traffic returns to normal by the end of April. Ceasefire still seems very shaky. We will see.
