Polymarket predicts a 34% chance that Iran will agree to end uranium enrichment by April 30th, despite ongoing US negotiations; hardline positions from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) make compliance increasingly unlikely.

Polymarket predicts a 34% chance that Iran will agree to end uranium enrichment by April 30th, despite ongoing US negotiations; hardline positions from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) make compliance increasingly unlikely.

Tasnim, affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, published a video showing a delegation from the Popular Mobilization Units in an unnamed city, offering condolences to the families of student martyrs from the Shajareh Tayebeh school in Minab. The delegation entered Iran via the Shalamcheh border crossing.
Will Iran agree to end enrichment of their uranium by April 30th? Polymarket sees this at just 34 percent despite talks happening tomorrow at is being a bey US demand, hardline positions with the IRGC are increasingly making this unlikely. What do you think?