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Day 199 of the WarMonday, September 14, 2026

Day 199 — CENTCOM Calls IRGC Mine Claim False, Oman Hormuz Talks Scrapped at Saudi Request, Jina Amini's Father Writes to Her

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Strait of HormuzMuscat, Oman

Inside Iran — Four Years Since Jina: A Father's Letter, and a Reported Ghalibaf Confession

  • Marking four years since Jina Mahsa Amini was killed in morality police custody over her hijab, Masih Alinejad published a letter from her father: 'We had one daughter, and they took her from us,' he writes, vowing the truth will 'not stay buried forever.'source
  • In Calgary, Canada, Iranians marked the fourth anniversary of Mahsa Amini's state murder with a march beside the memorial tree for Kian Pirfalak, chanting 'Woman, Life, Freedom' and voicing support for Prince Reza Pahlavi, Iran International reports.source
  • Israel's Channel 14, citing sources close to him, claims Speaker Ghalibaf privately admitted the regime is desperate — 'We all stole billions, but we can no longer keep the people under control for much longer' — and that Iran has lost control of Hormuz; the report is unverified, per Visegrad24.source

Intelligence — CBS Reveals the F-15 Rescue Inside Iran; Trump Shrugs Off China's Role

  • CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper told CBS's 60 Minutes the F-15 downed south of Isfahan on April 2 by a shoulder-fired missile was striking drone and missile facilities; one crew member, with fractures, climbed above 2,100 meters to evade Iranian forces until rescued, per Iran International.source
  • One of the two rescued F-15 crew told CBS that the U.S. put 92 elite soldiers on the ground in Iran — for the first time in 46 years — after the CIA foiled the IRGC with a deception operation, Iran International reports.source
  • Asked about reports that Iran got satellite images of a U.S. base in Jordan from Chinese entities before a deadly strike, Trump played it down aboard Air Force One: 'They're basically doing the same thing we do,' RadioFarda reports.source

Hormuz — The IRGC's Mine Story Meets CENTCOM's 'False'

Gulf & Naval
  • The IRGC Navy claimed the supertanker El Gaia exploded after hitting sea mines while trying to cross a 'prohibited area' south of Hormuz, saying the whole ship was engulfed in flames and that the Strait 'is closed,' per Iran International.source
  • CENTCOM called the claim FALSE: the Panama-flagged El Gaia was disabled by an Iranian missile last month, and Iran struck it again with a drone this weekend as it sat off Oman; the tanker is now being towed by a regional partner.source
  • The Iranian 'Persian Gulf Waterway Management' entity expanded its blacklist of ships it says violated Tehran's Hormuz protocols to 77, warning insurers, P&I clubs and classification societies off and threatening fines, detention or confiscation, per Iran International.source
  • The IRGC claimed it shot down an MQ-1 drone over the Strait of Hormuz; Open Source Intel says it could be a UAE-operated Predator XP or a U.S. Army MQ-1C Gray Eagle, and the claim remains unconfirmed.source

Diplomacy — The Oman Meeting Is Scrapped at Riyadh's Request

Gulf & Naval
  • Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman said Saudi Arabia asked that Monday's Oman meeting on the new Hormuz shipping route not be held, adding: 'We expected regional countries to appreciate this opportunity,' per Shin.source
  • Reuters reports that the postponement, announced by Omani Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidi, has dimmed hopes of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Hormuz crisis, as the Saudi pipeline shutdown deepens supply worries, per Iran International.source
  • Pezeshkian told India Today that Iran was 'forced to attack the countries of the region because America has bases in these countries,' calling their resentment 'unreasonable,' and said Iran would not have joined the NPT if it sought nuclear weapons, per Iran International.source
  • Trump said the Islamic Republic is eager to reach a deal with America 'at any cost' and that he alone will decide whether Washington engages, adding that countries which gave no help must reimburse U.S. costs of securing Hormuz once the conflict ends, per LiveIranNews.source

Oil Flows — Gulf Crude Moves Through the Strait, Not a Barrel of Iran's

  • TankerTrackers says an average of 7.85 million barrels a day of crude from Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE and Oman crossed Hormuz over 60 days of U.S. blockade — and not a single barrel of Iranian crude, LiveIranNews reports.source
  • Energy Secretary Chris Wright said about 10 million barrels of oil and products now pass through Hormuz daily, a figure expected to rise, with total regional flows including pipelines reaching 13–15 million: 'Now the ball is in the Islamic Republic's court,' LiveIranNews reports.source
  • With its East-West pipeline halted by drone attacks, Saudi Arabia is seeking to push even more oil through Hormuz after already raising shipments in the first 10 days of September above August levels, Bloomberg reports, per Open Source Intel.source

Sources